Darlington FC vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
24.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Darlington FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2005 |
DAR
2 - 1
ROC
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
CHE
4 - 4
DAR
42%
28%
30%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2005 |
HAR
3 - 1
DAR
62%
21%
17%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
GRI
0 - 1
DAR
42%
28%
30%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
DAR
0 - 1
LEY
51%
24%
24%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2005 |
MAN
2 - 3
NOT
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
NOT
2 - 0
BRO
46%
27%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2005 |
WAT
3 - 1
NOT
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
STO
1 - 1
NOT
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
NOT
2 - 1
LIN
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +2 |