Darlington FC vs Newport County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
49.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Darlington FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
DAR
0 - 1
SUN
12%
21%
67%
|
45 | 81 | 36 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
DAR
0 - 2
DAG
26%
26%
48%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
MAC
0 - 2
DAR
62%
23%
15%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2010 |
DAR
0 - 5
NOT
14%
25%
61%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
DAR
0 - 2
GRI
41%
27%
32%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
BRA
1 - 2
NEW
27%
28%
46%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
NEW
3 - 0
DOV
54%
24%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
HAV
4 - 0
NEW
31%
27%
42%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2010 |
WES
1 - 4
NEW
20%
25%
55%
|
59 | 29 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
NEW
4 - 1
MAI
71%
19%
10%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | +1 |