Darlington FC vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
20.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Darlington FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
DAR
2 - 1
BOU
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
DAR
0 - 0
CHE
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
BCF
2 - 2
DAR
41%
28%
31%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
DAR
2 - 2
BAR
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2008 |
ROT
1 - 1
DAR
46%
25%
30%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2009 |
CHE
2 - 2
LUT
29%
28%
44%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
LUT
3 - 2
LIN
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
CHE
2 - 2
LUT
52%
24%
24%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
LUT
1 - 1
MOR
57%
24%
20%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2008 |
LUT
1 - 0
COL
36%
24%
40%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |