Darlington FC vs Lincoln City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
26.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Darlington FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2004 |
SWA
2 - 1
DAR
51%
26%
23%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
DAR
3 - 3
YEO
34%
24%
42%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
RUS
1 - 2
DAR
47%
27%
26%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
DAR
1 - 0
WYC
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2004 |
NOT
1 - 1
DAR
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
HAR
3 - 0
LIN
62%
21%
17%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
LIN
3 - 2
NOR
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
CAM
0 - 1
LIN
40%
28%
33%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
LIN
3 - 4
LEY
53%
25%
23%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2004 |
LIN
1 - 1
ROC
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |