Darlington FC vs Hereford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
36%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Darlington FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
STO
1 - 0
DAR
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2008 |
BAR
0 - 0
DAR
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
DAR
1 - 3
BRA
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2008 |
DAR
2 - 2
MOR
55%
24%
20%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
CHE
2 - 1
DAR
21%
28%
51%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
HER
2 - 2
CHE
67%
22%
11%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2008 |
LIN
2 - 1
HER
28%
26%
46%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
HER
0 - 0
BCF
57%
25%
18%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
HER
1 - 0
WYC
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2008 |
MAN
0 - 1
HER
26%
25%
49%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |