Darlington FC vs Hereford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Darlington FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
DAR
3 - 0
AFC
59%
22%
19%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
DAR
1 - 2
YOR
37%
25%
38%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
CHE
1 - 0
DAR
42%
23%
35%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
DAR
0 - 0
CHE
44%
23%
33%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 3
DAR
65%
21%
15%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Hereford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
MER
0 - 2
HER
27%
25%
48%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
YOR
0 - 1
HER
62%
22%
16%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
HER
1 - 1
LEA
33%
26%
41%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
HER
4 - 0
LYM
71%
17%
12%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
LYM
2 - 2
HER
18%
21%
61%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |