Darlington FC vs Harrogate Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
46%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Darlington FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
DAR
0 - 1
TAM
45%
24%
31%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
KID
3 - 3
DAR
58%
22%
21%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
DAR
0 - 3
BRA
27%
25%
49%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
BLY
3 - 1
DAR
68%
17%
15%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
DAR
2 - 1
BRA
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Harrogate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
TOW
3 - 1
BOS
76%
15%
9%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
SPE
3 - 1
TOW
37%
25%
38%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
ALF
1 - 2
TOW
20%
23%
57%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2017 |
TOW
1 - 1
BRA
79%
14%
7%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
TOW
2 - 2
LEA
78%
15%
8%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | -1 |