Darlington FC vs Gainsborough Trinity analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
33.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Darlington FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
WES
1 - 2
DAR
8%
16%
76%
|
47 | 20 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 0
DAR
44%
24%
31%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
DAR
0 - 0
ALF
30%
26%
44%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
DAR
1 - 0
SPE
33%
24%
43%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
CUR
0 - 0
DAR
53%
23%
23%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
GAI
0 - 3
BAS
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
GAI
2 - 1
GRA
81%
13%
6%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
MAT
0 - 2
GAI
20%
23%
57%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
GAI
1 - 2
LAN
59%
21%
20%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
GAI
2 - 1
AFC
34%
25%
41%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +2 |