Darlington FC vs Fleetwood Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
53.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Darlington FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
BAR
3 - 0
DAR
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2012 |
DAR
0 - 1
GAT
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
GAT
1 - 1
DAR
47%
26%
28%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
DAR
2 - 0
CAM
40%
28%
31%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
GRI
3 - 0
DAR
45%
24%
31%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Fleetwood Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2012 |
FLE
4 - 1
BAR
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
FLE
1 - 5
BPO
25%
23%
52%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2012 |
SOU
0 - 6
FLE
33%
25%
42%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
FLE
2 - 2
SOU
62%
21%
17%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2011 |
HAY
1 - 3
FLE
23%
24%
54%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | +1 |