Darlington FC vs Barnsley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
29.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Darlington FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
DAR
0 - 1
BRO
51%
25%
23%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
KID
1 - 0
DAR
47%
27%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2004 |
YEO
1 - 1
DAR
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
DAR
1 - 0
GRI
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
SCU
0 - 1
DAR
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Barnsley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
WAL
2 - 2
BAR
57%
23%
21%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
BAR
3 - 4
LUT
35%
26%
39%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2004 |
BAR
2 - 1
BRI
31%
27%
42%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
MKD
1 - 1
BAR
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
STO
2 - 3
BAR
58%
22%
20%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |