Darlington FC vs Alfreton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
43.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Darlington FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
DAR
1 - 0
SPE
33%
24%
43%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
CUR
0 - 0
DAR
53%
23%
23%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
DAR
1 - 0
LEA
35%
27%
39%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
BUX
2 - 0
DAR
53%
23%
25%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
OXF
2 - 2
DAR
40%
24%
36%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ALF
2 - 1
FAR
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
NEE
0 - 2
ALF
21%
24%
56%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ALF
2 - 2
CHE
42%
27%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
LEA
2 - 2
ALF
32%
28%
40%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ALF
3 - 0
KIN
48%
24%
27%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |