Darlington FC vs Alfreton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Darlington FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
DAR
1 - 5
TOW
25%
24%
51%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
DAR
1 - 2
HOR
46%
25%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
DAR
4 - 1
WEA
40%
24%
36%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +2 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
WEY
0 - 1
DAR
42%
23%
35%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
FAR
1 - 0
DAR
34%
24%
42%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
ALF
0 - 1
BRA
17%
24%
59%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
BLY
2 - 0
ALF
33%
23%
45%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
ALF
4 - 1
KIN
32%
22%
46%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
ALF
0 - 1
GRI
22%
23%
55%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
ALF
1 - 2
SOL
20%
23%
57%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |