Darlington FC vs AFC Hornchurch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
29.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Darlington FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
DAR
4 - 1
WEA
40%
24%
36%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
WEY
0 - 1
DAR
42%
23%
35%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
FAR
1 - 0
DAR
34%
24%
42%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2021 |
BRA
2 - 0
DAR
55%
23%
23%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
DAR
6 - 0
BLY
74%
15%
10%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Hornchurch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
HOR
5 - 4
MAI
39%
25%
36%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
HOR
1 - 1
KIN
36%
24%
40%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
DUL
1 - 2
HOR
43%
24%
33%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
TON
0 - 1
HOR
43%
24%
33%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
HOR
4 - 1
WIN
66%
20%
15%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |