FA Cup Previa 3
Global 2-3
Darlaston Town vs Harborough Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
54.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Darlaston Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
HAR
0 - 0
DTF
60%
21%
19%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
DTF
3 - 0
LYE
47%
21%
31%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
AFC
3 - 1
DTF
61%
21%
18%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
SOA
0 - 3
DTF
18%
19%
63%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
DTF
2 - 0
WHI
71%
16%
13%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Harborough Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
HAR
0 - 0
DTF
60%
21%
19%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
KET
1 - 1
HAR
28%
26%
47%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
HAR
2 - 1
BED
72%
18%
10%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
LEI
1 - 1
HAR
20%
23%
57%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
ALV
1 - 1
HAR
15%
22%
63%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |