Darfo Boario vs Virtus Bergamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
37.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Darfo Boario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 1
DAR
42%
26%
32%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
DAR
1 - 0
BUS
51%
22%
27%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
DAR
2 - 0
SCA
60%
20%
20%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
OLG
1 - 0
DAR
50%
25%
25%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
DAR
0 - 2
FAN
41%
23%
36%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus Bergamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
VBE
1 - 0
LEC
39%
22%
39%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
VBE
1 - 2
UAR
50%
22%
29%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
DCA
1 - 0
VBE
26%
22%
52%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
VBE
0 - 2
PER
60%
20%
20%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
PSM
3 - 3
VBE
41%
23%
36%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |