Darfo Boario vs Caravaggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
25.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Darfo Boario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
REZ
3 - 0
DAR
73%
17%
10%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
DAR
0 - 0
SER
45%
24%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
DAR
1 - 4
REZ
17%
21%
62%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -3 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
CAL
2 - 2
DAR
36%
22%
41%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
PER
1 - 0
DAR
50%
26%
24%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
SER
2 - 2
CAR
60%
21%
19%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 0
CIS
53%
23%
24%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
PON
1 - 0
CAR
66%
19%
15%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -3 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 1
BUS
41%
25%
34%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
SCA
3 - 3
CAR
36%
27%
37%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |