Darfo Boario vs Caravaggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
10.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Darfo Boario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
VBE
2 - 0
DAR
31%
23%
46%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
DAR
1 - 2
PON
48%
25%
28%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
DCA
0 - 6
DAR
15%
22%
62%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | +2 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
DAR
4 - 2
CRE
56%
24%
20%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
DAR
0 - 0
PRO
44%
26%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 0
PSM
26%
25%
49%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
LEV
4 - 2
CAR
65%
19%
16%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
CAR
3 - 0
TRE
44%
24%
32%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
PER
2 - 1
CAR
69%
20%
12%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
BUS
2 - 0
CAR
73%
16%
11%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |