Dardania Basel vs Red Star Zürich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
71.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dardania Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
BER
6 - 1
DAR
57%
20%
22%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
DAR
0 - 4
ALL
13%
18%
70%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
BST
0 - 6
DAR
62%
19%
19%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2014 |
UZU
4 - 1
DAR
84%
11%
5%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
HON
4 - 2
DAR
86%
10%
4%
|
12 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Red Star Zürich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
RSZ
3 - 1
AAR
34%
23%
42%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
BER
0 - 4
RSZ
16%
20%
64%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
RSZ
3 - 1
MUT
59%
21%
21%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
ALL
1 - 1
RSZ
45%
24%
32%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
RSZ
0 - 0
LIE
66%
19%
16%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -1 |