Dardania Basel vs Aarau II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
72.5%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.7%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dardania Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
KRU
1 - 2
DAR
61%
20%
20%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
MUT
0 - 2
DAR
80%
12%
8%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
DAR
3 - 1
LIE
17%
19%
64%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
DOR
2 - 2
DAR
85%
11%
5%
|
12 | 34 | 22 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
DAR
2 - 1
BIN
14%
19%
67%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
AAR
1 - 1
BER
88%
8%
4%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
ALL
2 - 2
AAR
41%
23%
37%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
AAR
1 - 1
BST
91%
6%
3%
|
34 | 11 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
AAR
1 - 2
UZU
66%
17%
17%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
HON
1 - 0
AAR
38%
23%
40%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -2 |