Conmebol Sudamericana 1/32
Global 2-2
Danubio vs Tacuary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2007 |
TAC
1 - 1
DAN
28%
26%
46%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2007 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
DAN
50%
23%
27%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
DAN
0 - 1
PEÑ
56%
22%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
DEF
0 - 2
DAN
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
DAN
2 - 0
LFC
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
TAC
0 - 2
2DE
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
NAC
1 - 0
TAC
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2007 |
TAC
1 - 1
DAN
28%
26%
46%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
TAC
2 - 1
LIB
38%
29%
34%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2007 |
NAC
1 - 2
TAC
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |