Danubio vs Sud América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2015 |
DEF
1 - 1
DAN
48%
27%
26%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
DAN
0 - 1
TAC
66%
21%
14%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
JUV
0 - 1
DAN
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
SLO
0 - 1
DAN
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
DAN
1 - 0
CER
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2015 |
SUD
0 - 4
RIV
24%
26%
50%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
ETS
1 - 1
SUD
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
SUD
3 - 1
RAC
41%
28%
31%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
SUD
0 - 0
DEF
28%
27%
45%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
TAC
2 - 2
SUD
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |