Danubio vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
33.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
RAC
0 - 1
DAN
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2015 |
DAN
2 - 2
RAF
44%
25%
32%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
DEF
0 - 0
DAN
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
RIV
1 - 2
DAN
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
DAN
1 - 1
ETS
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
SLO
2 - 0
COL
57%
25%
18%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
SLO
0 - 1
RIV
36%
27%
37%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 0
SLO
63%
22%
15%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
RMA
2 - 0
SLO
95%
4%
1%
|
80 | 99 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2014 |
SLO
2 - 1
AUC
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |