Danubio vs Racing Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
14.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
TAC
0 - 3
DAN
28%
27%
46%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
DAN
2 - 0
ETS
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
DAN
67%
20%
14%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
DAN
1 - 1
DEF
44%
25%
31%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
MWA
1 - 1
DAN
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
RAC
0 - 3
DEF
33%
26%
41%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
RAC
1 - 2
BVS
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
CEN
1 - 1
RAC
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
RAC
2 - 2
NAC
29%
27%
44%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
FEN
1 - 1
RAC
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |