Danubio vs Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
40.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
PLA
3 - 0
DAN
50%
27%
23%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
DAN
0 - 4
TOR
26%
27%
47%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2021 |
RIV
0 - 4
DAN
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +2 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
DAN
0 - 1
PEÑ
25%
27%
48%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2021 |
MWA
2 - 0
DAN
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2021 |
PRO
3 - 3
DEF
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
CER
2 - 0
PRO
34%
27%
39%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 1
FEN
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 4
LFC
37%
27%
37%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2021 |
PLA
0 - 1
PRO
35%
27%
38%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |