Danubio vs Plaza Colonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.1%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
30.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
MWA
0 - 3
DAN
49%
28%
24%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
DAN
1 - 1
LFC
27%
28%
45%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
PRO
2 - 2
DAN
41%
27%
33%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
DAN
66%
22%
12%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
DAN
3 - 2
TOR
27%
28%
45%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Plaza Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
PLA
1 - 3
NAC
21%
27%
52%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
FEN
0 - 1
PLA
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
DUR
1 - 3
PLA
26%
23%
51%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
PLA
0 - 1
DEF
36%
29%
35%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2022 |
ALB
1 - 0
PLA
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |