Danubio vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
47.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
1º
3º
3º
10
4º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
14 | 14 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 12 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
11 | 11 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
10 | 10 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 9 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 9 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 8 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 4 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
BOS
1 - 0
DAN
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
EME
2 - 1
DAN
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
LUZ
0 - 2
DAN
49%
27%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
DAN
1 - 0
TOR
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
DAN
1 - 0
HUR
34%
28%
39%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
TOR
61%
23%
16%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
PEÑ
1 - 2
AMF
35%
28%
38%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
MWA
0 - 0
PEÑ
27%
26%
47%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
PEÑ
1 - 3
RIV
53%
25%
22%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
PEÑ
0 - 3
DYJ
32%
27%
41%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |