Danubio vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
41.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
RAC
0 - 0
DAN
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
DAN
1 - 1
SUD
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
FEN
2 - 1
DAN
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
DAN
2 - 3
DEF
37%
26%
37%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
ETS
1 - 0
DAN
39%
28%
34%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
RIV
4 - 0
PEÑ
45%
24%
30%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
RAC
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SUD
1 - 4
PEÑ
24%
26%
50%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
FEN
65%
20%
14%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
DEF
3 - 1
PEÑ
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |