Danubio vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
34.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
2º
4º
2º
16
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
16 | 16 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
14 | 14 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 11 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 10 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 10 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 7 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 3 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
CSM
2 - 3
DAN
48%
25%
26%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
CER
0 - 0
DAN
40%
28%
32%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
DAN
2 - 0
JUN
40%
28%
32%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
CEL
2 - 2
DAN
43%
28%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
DAN
1 - 1
DEP
42%
29%
30%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 1
JUN
58%
22%
20%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
CEL
0 - 4
NAC
41%
27%
33%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 1
LFC
47%
24%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
CER
3 - 0
NAC
35%
28%
37%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
BOS
1 - 3
NAC
48%
25%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |