Danubio vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
44.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
SUD
1 - 1
DAN
37%
28%
35%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
BOS
0 - 3
DAN
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +2 |
| 12 May. 2017 |
DAN
3 - 0
SPO
39%
25%
36%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
DAN
0 - 0
LFC
57%
24%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
ETS
2 - 4
DAN
42%
28%
31%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2017 |
NAC
2 - 1
RIV
67%
20%
13%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 1
LAN
39%
25%
36%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
ZUL
0 - 0
NAC
25%
25%
51%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
NAC
4 - 3
SUD
75%
17%
8%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
DEF
3 - 2
NAC
32%
27%
42%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |