Danubio vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
35%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2005 |
TAC
2 - 3
DAN
32%
27%
42%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
DAN
3 - 3
PAY
73%
19%
8%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
LFC
1 - 2
DAN
42%
26%
33%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
RIV
0 - 3
DAN
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
PEÑ
2 - 7
DAN
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2005 |
CSM
1 - 1
NAC
30%
26%
44%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
NAC
2 - 2
DEF
57%
23%
19%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
NAC
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
NAC
0 - 0
LFC
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
NAC
5 - 1
MWA
69%
19%
11%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |