Danubio vs Montevideo Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
31.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
DAN
3 - 3
SUD
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
DAN
1 - 0
ETS
66%
21%
14%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
REN
1 - 0
DAN
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
RIV
2 - 1
DAN
61%
22%
18%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
DAN
2 - 1
RAC
63%
22%
16%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
ETS
0 - 1
MWA
29%
26%
45%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
DEF
1 - 2
MWA
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
MWA
3 - 1
RAC
67%
20%
14%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
MWA
3 - 1
SUD
68%
19%
12%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
REN
1 - 3
MWA
39%
26%
35%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |