Danubio vs Liverpool Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
37.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
2º
4º
2º
3
6º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
16 | 16 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
14 | 14 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 11 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 10 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 10 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 7 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
3 | 3 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
BOS
1 - 2
DAN
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
DAN
0 - 6
NAC
37%
28%
35%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
CSM
2 - 3
DAN
48%
25%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
CER
0 - 0
DAN
40%
28%
32%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
DAN
2 - 0
JUN
40%
28%
32%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
LFC
0 - 1
CER
58%
23%
20%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
JUN
3 - 2
LFC
33%
27%
41%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
CEL
1 - 0
LFC
36%
27%
37%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
LFC
1 - 0
BOS
52%
23%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 1
LFC
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |