Danubio vs Liga de Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
26.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2004 |
DAN
1 - 0
NAC
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
NAC
4 - 1
DAN
54%
24%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2004 |
PEÑ
1 - 5
DAN
58%
22%
19%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
DAN
2 - 0
LFC
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2004 |
DAN
0 - 0
DEF
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
LIG
4 - 1
CUE
55%
23%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
EME
2 - 2
LIG
42%
27%
32%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2005 |
PEÑ
4 - 1
LIG
56%
23%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2005 |
LIG
3 - 0
PEÑ
45%
24%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
LIG
1 - 0
BSC
54%
23%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |