Danubio vs Juventud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
MWA
1 - 2
DAN
59%
23%
19%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
PRO
1 - 0
DAN
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
LFC
0 - 1
DAN
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
CEL
1 - 1
DAN
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
DAN
2 - 1
FEN
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Juventud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
JUV
4 - 1
CER
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
CEN
1 - 2
JUV
64%
22%
14%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
JUV
0 - 4
RIV
29%
26%
45%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
JUV
0 - 2
ETS
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
JUV
78%
16%
7%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |