Danubio vs Junior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
24.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1978 |
DAN
1 - 2
PEÑ
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1978 |
CAL
2 - 0
DAN
64%
18%
18%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
JUN
0 - 0
DAN
55%
21%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1978 |
PEÑ
4 - 2
DAN
76%
14%
10%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 1978 |
CAL
0 - 0
JUN
62%
19%
19%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1978 |
JUN
1 - 0
PEÑ
36%
27%
37%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
JUN
0 - 0
DAN
55%
21%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1978 |
JUN
0 - 0
CAL
51%
21%
28%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1971 |
CAL
2 - 0
JUN
66%
18%
17%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |