Danubio vs Estudiantes La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
DAN
2 - 2
FEN
73%
17%
11%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2008 |
CSM
1 - 4
DAN
26%
27%
47%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2008 |
CUE
0 - 0
DAN
34%
27%
39%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
DAN
1 - 2
JUV
73%
17%
10%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2008 |
LAN
3 - 1
DAN
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
SLO
3 - 1
EST
47%
26%
27%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2008 |
EST
0 - 0
LAN
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2008 |
EST
5 - 2
NOB
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
GIM
0 - 2
EST
28%
29%
44%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2008 |
CUE
1 - 0
EST
32%
28%
39%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |