Copa Libertadores Quarter-finals
Global 4-1
Danubio vs Cobreloa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
25.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1989 |
COB
0 - 2
DAN
71%
17%
13%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1989 |
NAC
1 - 3
DAN
95%
3%
2%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1989 |
DAN
0 - 0
NAC
3%
27%
71%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1989 |
DAN
1 - 0
STR
60%
23%
18%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1989 |
DAN
1 - 0
BOL
53%
22%
26%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Cobreloa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1989 |
COB
0 - 2
DAN
71%
17%
13%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1989 |
COB
1 - 0
QUI
73%
16%
12%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1989 |
QUI
0 - 0
COB
40%
27%
34%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1989 |
COB
2 - 2
COL
66%
21%
13%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1989 |
OLI
2 - 0
COB
31%
32%
38%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |