Danubio vs Cerro Largo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.9%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
28.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
5º
11º
11º
1
5º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
3 | 24 |
1º
|
14.5% | |
|
2º
|
3 | 22 |
2º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
1 | 22 |
3º
|
7.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 22 |
4º
|
5.5% | |
|
1º
|
3 | 22 |
5º
|
6% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 22 |
6º
|
7% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 22 |
7º
|
7% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 21 |
8º
|
5% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 20 |
9º
|
7% | |
|
|
6º
|
1 | 20 |
10º
|
4% | |
|
|
7º
|
1 | 20 |
11º
|
6% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 19 |
12º
|
6.5% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 19 |
13º
|
7% | |
|
4º
|
3 | 19 |
14º
|
5.5% | |
|
5º
|
1 | 17 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 14 |
16º
|
35.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
3.5% | 3% |
|
Mid-table
|
96.5% | 97% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
DAN
1 - 1
LFC
35%
28%
37%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2024 |
DEP
3 - 1
DAN
29%
29%
42%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2024 |
DAN
0 - 0
NAC
34%
28%
38%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
RAC
0 - 0
DAN
44%
27%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
DAN
0 - 0
CER
44%
29%
28%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
CEL
1 - 1
JUV
55%
26%
20%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
CEL
2 - 1
PRO
39%
26%
35%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2024 |
CEL
3 - 0
DEF
40%
27%
32%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2024 |
CEL
4 - 0
MWA
38%
27%
35%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2024 |
CEL
0 - 0
LFC
38%
27%
36%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |