Danubio vs Cerro Largo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.8%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
28.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
DAN
2 - 1
NAC
22%
28%
50%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2022 |
ALB
1 - 2
DAN
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
DAN
1 - 2
DEF
38%
29%
33%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
FEN
0 - 0
DAN
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
DAN
2 - 0
CEL
38%
29%
33%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
CEL
70%
20%
10%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
CEL
1 - 2
LFC
26%
28%
46%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
REN
2 - 0
CEL
34%
28%
38%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
CEL
1 - 0
DEP
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
DAN
2 - 0
CEL
38%
29%
33%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |