Danubio vs Cerro Largo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
CER
1 - 2
DAN
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
RIV
1 - 1
DAN
65%
20%
16%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
DAN
0 - 1
DEF
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
DAN
0 - 0
LFC
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
RAC
0 - 1
DAN
40%
26%
33%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
CEL
2 - 2
RAC
58%
24%
19%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
DEF
2 - 1
CEL
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
CEL
1 - 0
CER
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CEL
2 - 0
CSC
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CEL
0 - 3
RIV
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |