Danubio vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
15.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1984 |
DAN
5 - 1
OCT
65%
18%
17%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1984 |
NAC
1 - 0
DAN
99%
1%
0%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1984 |
NAC
3 - 0
DAN
61%
19%
20%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1984 |
OCT
2 - 2
DAN
47%
22%
31%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1984 |
DAN
0 - 1
NAC
3%
27%
70%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1984 |
NAC
1 - 1
NAC
97%
2%
1%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1984 |
OCT
2 - 2
NAC
48%
23%
30%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1984 |
NAC
3 - 0
DAN
61%
19%
20%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1984 |
NAC
3 - 1
NAC
2%
27%
70%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1984 |
NAC
3 - 1
OCT
61%
20%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |