Danubio vs Lanús analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
26.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
DAN
1 - 3
NAC
58%
21%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
DAN
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
DAN
4 - 1
MWA
67%
19%
14%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2008 |
DAN
2 - 0
CUE
67%
19%
14%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
CEN
2 - 0
DAN
24%
26%
50%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
EST
1 - 0
LAN
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
LAN
0 - 1
RIV
47%
25%
28%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2008 |
LAN
3 - 3
EST
49%
26%
25%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
SLO
3 - 1
LAN
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2008 |
LAN
1 - 1
NOB
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |