Danubio vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
52.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
DAN
1 - 1
CEL
45%
30%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
DAN
49%
27%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
DAN
0 - 0
AME
40%
27%
34%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
DAN
1 - 1
PRO
31%
27%
42%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
DRZ
0 - 2
DAN
19%
24%
57%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ATP
1 - 0
SCI
52%
25%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
GRE
2 - 0
ATP
53%
24%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ATP
4 - 0
CUI
55%
24%
20%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
ATP
6 - 0
DRZ
92%
7%
2%
|
90 | 58 | 32 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ATP
3 - 0
GRE
83%
13%
5%
|
90 | 64 | 26 | 0 |