Danubio vs Atenas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
9.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2009 |
CSC
2 - 2
DAN
31%
26%
43%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
RAC
1 - 2
DAN
36%
26%
38%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
DAN
4 - 2
CER
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
CEL
2 - 3
DAN
25%
28%
47%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
DAN
2 - 2
RIV
45%
24%
31%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Atenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2009 |
NAC
5 - 0
ATE
71%
19%
10%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
RIV
1 - 0
ATE
77%
15%
8%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
ATE
2 - 0
CEL
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
MWA
0 - 0
ATE
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
ATE
0 - 1
CER
37%
28%
36%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |