Danubio vs 9 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
17.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1984 |
NAC
1 - 0
DAN
99%
1%
0%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1984 |
NAC
3 - 0
DAN
61%
19%
20%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1984 |
OCT
2 - 2
DAN
47%
22%
31%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1984 |
DAN
0 - 1
NAC
3%
27%
70%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 1978 |
DAN
3 - 0
CAL
57%
22%
22%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1984 |
OCT
2 - 2
NAC
48%
23%
30%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1984 |
OCT
1 - 3
NAC
12%
24%
64%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1984 |
OCT
2 - 2
DAN
47%
22%
31%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1984 |
NAC
3 - 1
OCT
61%
20%
20%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1966 |
OCT
0 - 4
EME
61%
19%
21%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +3 |