Danok Bat Sub 19 vs Deportivo Alavés U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
51.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
5º
8º
5º
7
3º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
12 | 73 |
1º
|
80.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 57 |
2º
|
29% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 54 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
7 | 52 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
7 | 45 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 44 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
3º
|
8 | 44 |
7º
|
6% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 43 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 42 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 37 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 33 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 32 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 31 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 29 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 24 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 24 |
16º
|
25% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
1.5% | 5% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
21% | 43.5% |
|
Possible next round
|
9% | 16.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
60.5% | 34% |
|
Relegation
|
8% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Danok Bat Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 0
DAN
36%
24%
41%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
DAN
1 - 1
ARE
55%
21%
24%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
OSA
2 - 3
DAN
72%
17%
12%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
DAN
0 - 2
HER
87%
10%
4%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
BER
1 - 5
DAN
24%
21%
55%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ALA
2 - 1
SJU
69%
18%
13%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
RSO
0 - 0
ALA
59%
20%
22%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ALA
0 - 0
CDA
64%
19%
17%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ATH
2 - 4
ALA
60%
21%
19%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
REA
6 - 1
ALA
53%
23%
24%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |