Dandenong Thunder SC vs South Melbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
45.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
DAN
1 - 2
OAK
22%
23%
55%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
DAN
4 - 4
STA
72%
16%
12%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
HEU
0 - 1
DAN
47%
23%
30%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
DAN
3 - 0
GRE
48%
23%
30%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
HUM
2 - 1
DAN
29%
23%
48%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2023 |
SOU
2 - 1
MEL
72%
17%
11%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 3
SOU
30%
23%
47%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
SOU
2 - 1
MCF
85%
10%
5%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SOU
0 - 5
OAK
36%
26%
38%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
SOU
1 - 0
GRE
66%
19%
15%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |