Dandenong City vs Altona Magic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
40.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
6º
12º
6º
33
7º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dandenong City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
AVH
4 - 3
DAC
85%
10%
5%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
DAC
0 - 5
BEN
20%
20%
60%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SOU
1 - 0
DAC
80%
13%
7%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
DAC
3 - 1
AVH
10%
15%
75%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | +5 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
HEU
5 - 1
DAC
82%
12%
6%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Altona Magic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ALM
0 - 1
HEU
30%
23%
48%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
OAK
5 - 0
ALM
85%
10%
5%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
POR
4 - 0
ALM
65%
19%
16%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ALM
1 - 0
BEN
69%
18%
13%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
ALM
1 - 4
SOU
15%
23%
62%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -2 |