Dalian Shide vs Guangzhou City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
8.4%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dalian Shide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
DAL
1 - 0
QIN
73%
18%
10%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2007 |
DAL
3 - 2
QIN
72%
18%
10%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
LIA
2 - 1
DAL
25%
27%
49%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
HAN
1 - 1
DAL
26%
26%
47%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
SHA
1 - 1
DAL
56%
23%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Guangzhou City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
GUA
2 - 2
CHA
27%
28%
45%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2007 |
XIA
0 - 0
GUA
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
GUA
2 - 0
SHE
40%
29%
31%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
WUH
0 - 0
GUA
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
GUA
2 - 1
HEN
40%
29%
31%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |