Dalian K'un City vs Guangxi Hengchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
44.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+723%
+2300%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
8º
2º
43
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
43 | 19 |
1º
|
68% | |
|
|
5º
|
41 | 16 |
2º
|
17.5% | |
|
1º
|
59 | 15 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 14 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 14 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 13 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 12 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 12 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 10 |
9º
|
22.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 10 |
10º
|
38% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
26% | 84% |
|
Mid-table
|
74% | 16% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dalian K'un City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
HBF
0 - 0
HFC
68%
17%
15%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
HFC
1 - 1
SHU
44%
22%
34%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
TTF
2 - 1
HFC
72%
17%
11%
|
26 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
HFC
3 - 0
NHC
15%
21%
64%
|
24 | 55 | 31 | +2 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
WCH
0 - 1
HFC
67%
18%
15%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Guangxi Hengchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
GUA
5 - 0
NHC
18%
22%
61%
|
31 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 0
JIA
53%
22%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
SHA
2 - 0
GUA
30%
22%
49%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -2 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 2
SHE
63%
18%
18%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
HSF
0 - 1
GUA
44%
22%
33%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |